Burglary Research Paper

Burglary Research Paper-63
"Pere Boqué, a mathematician who works as an analyst for the Catalan Police Department, set out the problem of anticipating a burglar's movements using predictive models in the same way that mathematical models for fluid dynamics allow meteorologists to predict the weather.We found the topic fascinating." Their work is inspired by age-dependent population models, which study a population's evolution in time based on the physiological ages of its individuals.

Tags: Mumia Abu Jamal EssaysSample Evaluation EssaySeven Step Problem Solving ModelDiscuss Francis Bacon As An EssayistEnglish Vocabulary Essay WritingWorking Women EssaysCollege Essay About Quote

After establishing these fundamentals, Saldaña et al.

modify their initial predator-prey system to account for active police response to criminal activity.

"Our model puts the emphasis on when -- rather than where -- the burglaries will take place and on the type of victimized houses, represented by their 'age,'" Avinyó said.

A burglar's age is the amount of time since his most recent offense, while a house's age is the amount of time since it was last burglarized.

In the authors' model, a lower house vulnerability leads to a higher degree of co-offending.

The aforementioned assumptions imply a predator-prey type relationship between burglars and vulnerable homes.

Although law enforcement is making concerted efforts to address and prevent burglary, frequent offenses in major metropolises continue to unsettle city-dwellers.

Existing mathematical models typically examine burglaries in residential, suburban environments, where similarly-structured houses with predictable lattice alignments are hotspots for repeated criminal activity.

"All of these aspects are linked to the age of a burglar in our formulation.

This allows us to implement different behavioral theories and use particular information obtained directly from offenders, like the so-called 'individual offending frequency' considered in criminology." Because behavioral hypotheses related to repeat and near-repeat victimization limit a model's customizability, Saldaña et al.

SHOW COMMENTS

Comments Burglary Research Paper

The Latest from avt-mig.ru ©